Relaxed credit standards behind home foreclosures
|
Based on results from its recent mortgage study, the Center for Responsible Lending (CRL) predicts that one out of five subprime loans issued during 2005 and 2006 will fail, resulting in foreclosure for millions of American homeowners. CRL’s study, the first nationwide review of subprime mortgages issued between 1998 and third quarter 2006, revealed that the subprime market has experienced high foreclosure rates despite low interest rates and a favorable economic environment during recent years. |
So who will lose when the expected tsunami of foreclosures washes through the system? Dotzour said it will not be the mortgage companies, who originate the loans, collect a fee and then sell the loans, and he doubts it will be mortgage bond holders, who have ways of hedging both interest rate risk and credit risk. Instead, hedge funds, pension funds and endowment associations that have been chasing yield by accepting more risk, or large commercial banks offering complex derivatives to allow traders to hedge their risk in mortgage bonds are likely to feel the pinch. “It’s safe to say that nobody knows exactly where the ultimate risk really lies in the financial markets,” Dotzour said. “Look at how long it is taking Fannie Mae to get their accounting straightened out to the point that even a financial genius could understand it. There is no way a layperson will ever be able to understand the risk they take when they buy stocks in large financial institutions.”
search for : Center for Responsible Lending, subprime loan, foreclosure, subprime mortgage
